Broncos vs. Bills Betting Preview: Buffalo Rolls Into Town With Momentum

broncos pick prediction odds
Nov 1, 2020; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Drew Lock (3) attempts a pass in the third quarter against the Los Angeles Chargers at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Broncos are coming off of one of their better wins of the season and Drew Lock’s best game of his career. They are preparing for the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills in Week 15. Let’s take a deeper look at our Broncos vs. Bills betting preview with oddspicks, and predictions.

Broncos vs. Bills Week 15 Odds

The Broncos are +3 on the spread and +135 on the moneyline. The total is set to 45.5 points.

Here are the current odds on Broncos vs. Bills Week 15 at FOX Bet Colorado.

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Buffalo Bills -6 (-110) -250 O 49 (-110)
Denver Broncos +6 (-110) +210 U 49 (-110)

 

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Broncos vs. Bills Betting Preview

The biggest question of the week is simple: Which version of Drew Lock is going to show up to Mile High Stadium on Saturday night? Will it be the same Lock that we saw throw a career-high four touchdown passes against the Carolina Panthers in Week 14 or the quarterback who threw four interceptions against the Las Vegas Raiders a few weeks ago.

It’s clear that Lock has talent, but being consistent enough to string together wins is the next major step he needs to make.

On the other sideline, the Bills have found their franchise quarterback. Josh Allen is taking a gigantic leap forward in year three and although he’s probably a longshot to win it at this point, he was getting some MVP hype at times this year. Allen can be prone to turnovers, but he’s shown that his aggressive playstyle can work.

Defensively, the Broncos are in the bottom half of the league when it comes to scoring, but they are middle of the pack when it comes to total defense. Although they have had their ups and downs this year, there is talent on that side of the ball.

Broncos vs. Bills Betting Trends

Why Backing The Broncos Makes Sense

Drew Lock Emergence

We talk about Drew Lock every week, but that’s because the quarterback is king in the NFL. For almost two seasons now, Lock has been trying to establish himself as a franchise cornerstone. If there was ever a time for him to make a statement, it’s now.

The Broncos are going to be the only game on Saturday afternoon so NFL fans all over the country will be watching. If he can turn in another standout performance, it would go a long way towards the Broncos covering that six-point spread. And remember, Lock is historically a much better player at home.

Bills Can’t Stop The Run

The Bills have a hard time stopping teams that can run the ball. They rank 19th in the NFL in rush defense (119.9 YPG) and this bodes well for the Broncos.

Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay were both limited in practice this week, but they should be healthy enough to play on Saturday. The Broncos have rushed for an average of 141 yards per game over the last four weeks. If they can establish the run game early, that should open things up for Drew Lock.

Why Backing The Bills Makes Sense

Buffalo’s Passing Game

Josh Allen is a bonafide star, but we have to give tons of credit to his supporting cast. Stefon Diggs is looking like one of the best trades of the offseason. Diggs is leading the NFL in receptions with 100 through 14 weeks and he has already set career-marks in receiving yards (1167) and first downs (53). When Allen needs to make a play, he looks to Diggs.

But don’t get it twisted, Diggs is not the only weapon on offense. Cole Beasley has 71 catches and 838 receiving yards out of the slot while Gabriel Davis leads the Bills with six receiving touchdowns.

Bills Pass Defense

Although the Bills rank bottom half in the league when it comes to pass defense, they have been improving in recent weeks. Against Ben Roethlisberger in Week 14, Buffalo held the Pittsburgh Steelers to just 5.1 yards per attempt and two touchdowns through the air. Roethlisberger was also forced into two costly interceptions. He finished the day with a dismal passer rating of 65.9.

How To Bet The Total

This over/under is tricky this week. On one hand, the Broncos have gone under on the total in four of their last five games. However, Drew Lock’s recent breakout performance might be a sign that Denver’s offense is starting to put things together. They have a strong running back tandem and dynamic weapons in the passing game.

The Bills can put up points in bunches as well. With Lock looking good and Buffalo’s offense humming, the over is the play this week.

Where Is The Money Going?

How To Watch Broncos vs. Bills

  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 19
  • Time: 2:30 p.m. MT
  • Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, Colorado)
  • TV: FOX
  • Announcers: Adam Amin (play-by-play), Mark Schlereth (game analyst), and Lindsay Czarniak (sideline reporter)

Broncos vs. Bills Prediction

Our track record has not been great for the last few weeks, but Broncos fans won’t be mad about that. We have picked against Denver more often than not and they burned us a few times. We will stick with that strategy and go with the Bills laying the points on Saturday.

Buffalo looks like they might be the best-equipped team to beat the Kansas City Chiefs this year. If they can carry their momentum into Week 15, it will be tough for the Broncos to cover, let alone win.

Broncos vs. Bills Pick

Take the Bills laying the points.

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