Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to PrizePicks, having a strategic approach is essential for maximizing your entries. NFL Week 18 brings a Saturday and Sunday slate, along with plenty of opportunities to capitalize on player props. This cheat sheet will help you make smart picks and avoid common pitfalls.
PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 18 (Sunday)
Top NFL Props ALT Lines for Sunday 1/5/25 🔥
Justin Jefferson
- 70+ Receiving Yards
- 13 of last 15 games
Brian Thomas Jr
- 60+ Receiving Yards
- 6 of last 6 games
Malik Nabers
- 50+ Receiving Yards
- 9 of last 9 games
Drake London
- 50+ Receiving Yards
- 7 of last 7 games
Davante Adams
- 40+ Receiving Yards
- 8 of last 9 games
Calvin Ridley
- 40+ Receiving Yards
- 11 of last 11 games
DK Metcalf
- 40+ Receiving Yards
- 12 of last 13 games
Jakobi Meyers
- 40+ Receiving Yards
- 11 of last 12 games
DJ Moore
- 6+ Receptions
- 7 of last 7 games
Bijan Robinson
- 70+ Rushing Yards
- 7 of last 8 games
Jahmyr Gibbs
- 60+ Rushing Yards
- 13 of last 15 games
Bucky Irving
- 60+ Rushing Yards
- 6 of last 7 games
Aaron Jones
- 40+ Rushing Yards
- 9 of last 11 games
Jayden Daniels
- 200+ Passing Yards
- 8 of last 9 games
Jared Goff
- 2+ Passing TDs
- 7 of last 8 games
Josh Jacobs
- Anytime TD
- 9 of last 10 games
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This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Sunday Week 18)
NFL Player Streaks With High Hit Rates 🔥
- D. Swift (@ GB)
- Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-115): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- Over 2.5 Receptions (+110): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- J. Jacobs (vs. CHI)
- Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-121): Hit in 4 of his last 4 games (100%).
- C. Williams (@ GB)
- Over 21.5 Rushing Yards (-120): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- B. Mayfield (vs. NO)
- Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-185): Hit in 4 of his last 4 games (100%).
- M. Andrews (vs. CLE)
- Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+145): Hit in 5 of his last 5 games (100%).
- M. Nabers (@ PHI)
- Over 6.5 Receptions (-115): Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%).
- D. Lock (@ PHI)
- Over 0.5 Passing TDs (-235): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- Over 191.5 Passing Yards (-110): Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%).
- J. Daniels (@ DAL)
- Over 215.5 Passing Yards (-110): Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%).
- Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+100): Hit in 5 of his last 5 games (100%).
- Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-115): Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%).
- B. Thomas (@ IND)
- Over 79.5 Receiving Yards (-120): Hit in 4 of his last 4 games (100%).
- C. Ridley (vs. HOU)
- Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-125): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- D. Vele (@ KC)
- Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-120): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- Over 1.5 Receptions (-170): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- B. Nix (@ KC)
- Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-115): Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%).
- Over 20.5 Passing Completions (-115): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (-120): Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%).
- T. Lockett (@ LA)
- Over 1.5 Receptions (-185): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- K. Murray (vs. SF)
- Over 28.5 Rushing Yards (-125): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- A. O’Connell (@ LAC)
- Over 226.5 Passing Yards (-115): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- J. Williams (vs. MIN)
- Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-114): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- Over 3.5 Receptions (-160): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- J. Goff (vs. MIN)
- Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-210): Hit in 5 of his last 5 games (100%).
- Over 271.5 Passing Yards (-114): Hit in 4 of his last 4 games (100%).
- J. Gibbs (vs. MIN)
- Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-114): Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%).
- S. Darnold (@ DET)
- Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-205): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- J. Jefferson (@ DET)
- Over 6.5 Receptions (-118): Hit in 5 of his last 5 games (100%).
- Over 91.5 Receiving Yards (-114): Hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- A. Jones (@ DET)
- Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (-115): Hit in 3 of his last 3 games (100%).
- Data from GYZR Markets
PrizePicks NFL Week 18 Line Movement 📊
| Player | Team | Opp | Date & Time | Market | Previous Line | PrizePicks | Change | % Change |
| Bucky Irving | TB | NO | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 111.5 | 114.5 | 3 | 2.7% |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | CAR | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 120.5 | 118.5 | -2 | 1.7% |
| J.K. Dobbins | LAC | @LV | Today 4:25 pm | Rushing Yards | 62.5 | 63.5 | 1 | 1.6% |
| Brian Robinson | WAS | @DAL | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 49.5 | 48.5 | -1 | 2.0% |
| D’Andre Swift | CHI | @GB | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 61.5 | 63.5 | 2 | 3.3% |
| Audric Estime | DEN | KC | Today 4:25 pm | Rushing Yards | 29.5 | 30.5 | 1 | 3.4% |
| De’Von Achane | MIA | @NYJ | Today 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 23.5 | 22.5 | -1 | 4.3% |
| Breece Hall | NYJ | MIA | Today 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 20.5 | 18.5 | -2 | 9.8% |
| Garrett Wilson | NYJ | MIA | Today 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 53.5 | 54.5 | 1 | 1.9% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | @LAR | Today 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 63.5 | 60.5 | -3 | 4.7% |
| Sam LaPorta | DET | MIN | Today 8:20 pm | Receiving Yards | 52.5 | 51.5 | -1 | 1.9% |
| Mike Evans | TB | NO | Today 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 102.5 | 100.5 | -2 | 2.0% |
| Aaron Jones | MIN | @DET | Today 8:20 pm | Rushing Yards | 60.5 | 59.5 | -1 | 1.7% |
| Baker Mayfield | TB | NO | Today 1:00 pm | Passing Yards | 255.5 | 257.5 | 2 | 0.8% |
| Brock Bowers | LV | LAC | Today 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 77.5 | 76.5 | -1 | 1.3% |
| Bo Nix | DEN | KC | Today 4:25 pm | Passing Yards | 228.5 | 223.5 | -5 | 2.2% |
| Jayden Daniels | WAS | @DAL | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 48.5 | 46.5 | -2 | 4.1% |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | JAX | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 86.5 | 84.5 | -2 | 2.3% |
| Tyler Lockett | SEA | @LAR | Today 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 20.5 | 19.5 | -1 | 4.9% |
Key Tips for Building Your Entries
- Understand Game Scripts
Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes. - Look for Consistent Performers
Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks. - Use Recent Player Trends
Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections. - Diversify Your Picks
Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk. - Leverage Injury Reports
Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
- Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
- Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.
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|---|---|---|
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